Friday, August 1, 2025

2025 Must See Nonconference Football Games


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Chris Low of ESPN recently published a "must see" article about the upcoming season titled "College football schedule superlatives for 2025 season". Just in case the title in quotes is not an obvious link to Low's article here is the link again:

One section of Low's article that we are going to take a closer look at in this article is "Must-see nonconference games". Here is a list of the Must-See Nonconference Games:
To be clear, neutral-site games don't count for this list:

Auburn at Baylor, Aug. 29,2025

Utah at UCLA, Aug. 30,2025

Texas at Ohio State, Aug. 30, 2025

Notre Dame at Miami, Aug. 30, 2025

LSU at Clemson, Aug. 30,2025

Alabama at Florida State, Aug. 30, 2025

Michigan at Oklahoma, Sept. 6, 2025

Kansas at Missouri, Sept. 6, 2025

Texas A&M at Notre Dame, Sept. 13, 2025

Florida at Miami, Sept. 20, 2025

USC at Notre Dame, Oct. 18, 2025

Clemson at South Carolina, Nov. 29, 2025


I asked ChatGPT to “Create a blog article that evaluates the nonconference 2025 college football games” included in Chris Low’s list.  Here is a slightly edited version of what ChatGPT created: 
Sure! Here's a blog article evaluating the major nonconference 2025 college football matchups:

2025 College Football Nonconference Showdowns: The Must-Watch Games of the Season

The 2025 college football season is shaping up to be one of the most thrilling in recent memory, thanks in large part to an impressive slate of nonconference games that could shape the College Football Playoff landscape early and often. From old rivalries rekindled to potential playoff previews, these matchups offer elite programs colliding outside of their usual conference grind.

Let’s break down the most compelling nonconference matchups of the 2025 season:

Auburn at Baylor – August 29, 2025

This Friday night opener will offer the first national taste of the 2025 season. Auburn, now deeper into the Hugh Freeze era, faces a Baylor team that’s shown flashes of brilliance under Dave Aranda. Auburn’s defense will be tested against Baylor’s evolving spread offense, and this could be a tone-setter for the SEC vs. Big 12 narratives all year. Expect a gritty, physical contest.

Watch for: Auburn’s quarterback development vs. a Baylor secondary known for disruption.

Editor's Note: Whether or not Auburn's transfer quarterback Jackson Arnold can showcase his skills versus the defensive genius of Dave Aranda or maybe it is Aranda vs the offensive genius of Hugh Freeze is the game story here. Before losing to LSU in a bowl Aranda's Baylor Bears had 6 wins to end their season last year. It would seem that Baylor is a team on the rise and Auburn needs to be.

Utah at UCLA – August 30, 2025

Yes, it’s technically a Big Ten conference game by 2025 standards, but because of scheduling quirks, it retains a nonconference classification. This Pac-12-turned-Big-Ten clash features two programs in transition. Utah brings physicality, while UCLA’s identity under new leadership post-Chip Kelly will be fascinating to watch.

Watch for: The battle in the trenches—Utah always brings it, and UCLA’s offensive line depth will be tested.

Texas at Ohio State – August 30, 2025

Arguably the “game of the weekend”, this is a heavyweight battle between two College Football Playoff contenders. Ohio State, expected to be a national title front-runner, will be tested by a Texas team growing in confidence under Steve Sarkisian. QB play will be under the microscope as both teams boast elite talent under center.

Watch for: NFL scouts drooling over both rosters—this is a five-star showcase.
Editor's Note: Even though I went to Texas A&M and LSU, I am ready and expecting to see Arch Manning light up Ohio State in this opener. I am actually excited to see who has a better game: Manning or sophomore wide receiver and early Heisman candidate Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith. Smith's success will largely be in the hands of former high school five star transfer quarterback from Alabama, Julian Sayin. There are a lot of former 4 and 5 stars that will be on this field! It ought to be a fun game to watch, just sayin' (bad pun intended).

Notre Dame at Miami – August 30, 2025

A classic rivalry that drips with history and intensity. Miami is trying to claw back into the national spotlight under Mario Cristobal, while Notre Dame continues its push for a playoff breakthrough under Marcus Freeman. The “Catholics vs. Convicts” vibes might be vintage, but the implications are very current.

Watch for: Defensive fireworks—this could be a surprisingly low-scoring, physical battle.

LSU at Clemson – August 30, 2025

Two recent national champions who’ve had their share of ups and downs. Brian Kelly and Dabo Swinney are both looking to prove their teams belong among the elite again. Expect a tight, high-energy matchup with plenty of speed on display.

Watch for: Clemson’s  QB vs. LSU’s exotic pressure packages.

Editor's Note: ChatGPT may be right, but, I think it may come down to which team has improved the most where they needed improvement. Clemson - 6 blocked Field Goal attempts, a weak run defense, and not as much depth at key positions. LSU - a better but still weak defense, creating an atmosphere where the many new transfers can play as a team, protecting the QB with missing key linemen from last year.

Alabama at Florida State – August 30, 2025

A vintage matchup with modern weight. Alabama’s new post-Saban identity will be a major story this season, and going to Tallahassee early will be a huge test. Meanwhile, Florida State looks to cement its re-emergence as a national power.

Watch for: Which team’s new-look quarterback room settles in quicker.

Editor's Note: Florida State was 13-0 in the regular season 2 years ago with wins over 3 top 20 teams at the time they played those teams. Last year Florida State was 2-10. Which Florida State team shows up this year?  Even without Nick Saban to save them and with lots of transfers out of the program, Alabama is still loaded and should have a consistent high level of preparation. Do they take FSU seriously or not? If they take the Noles seriously, look for Bama to crush FSU.

Michigan at Oklahoma – September 6, 2025

Two bluebloods on a collision course. Michigan, likely still among the most physical teams in the country, heads to Norman to face a Sooners squad adapting to SEC life. A massive litmus test for Brent Venables’ program.

Watch for: Michigan’s O-line vs. Oklahoma’s revamped defensive front.

Editor's Note: There is a lot of press about Oklahoma's new quality transfer QB John Mateer and about Michigan's all-world #1 everything QB Bryce Underwood. I am eager to see how these two do.   

Kansas at Missouri – September 6, 2025

The Border War is back—and it matters again. Kansas football has been revitalized under Lance Leipold, while Missouri continues to punch above its weight under Eli Drinkwitz. This could quietly be one of the most entertaining games of the early season.

Watch for:  A fiery crowd and a possible shootout between veteran QBs.

Editor's Note: Eli Drinkwitz has two 10-win seasons under his belt with bowl wins over Ohio State and Iowa. I would say it is starting to look like Drinkwitz and Mizzou may have already arrive and no longer be "punching above" their weight class. Also, I am not sold on the ChatGPT suggestion that Beau Pribula is a veteran QB. It is his first year in a Mizzou uniform. After transferring from Penn State, Pribula should know what he is doing. Wasn't Joe Burrow a transfer backup QB from Ohio State before he made magic happen at LSU? 

Texas A&M at Notre Dame – September 13, 2025

Two talent-laden programs that haven’t quite lived up to recent expectations. This game could be a springboard for either team’s playoff push—or the beginning of a rocky road. College Station meets South Bend in a clash of contrasts.

Watch for: A&M’s defensive line vs. Notre Dame’s power run game.

Editor's Note:  Mike Elko will have a well coached defense after two warm up games.  Notre Dame opens the season on the road at Miami against Carson Beck. They have a week off after Miami and may need it to shore up nicks, bruises, sunburns from a hard played opener, and possible Miami beach time. Texas A&M was embarrassed by a home opening loss to Notre Dame last year and may be looking to repay the debt.  Notre Dame does have a powerful running game but do not count out Texas A&M's running back trio of Le'Veon Moss, Amari Daniels, and Reuben Owens. Add to that a very mobile Marcel Reed at QB and it could turn into a battle of run games or "who can stop the run?".

Florida at Miami – September 20, 2025

The Sunshine State rivalry heats up again in what could be a pivotal game for both programs. Billy Napier needs a signature win to solidify his job, and Miami will be circling this as a must-win.

Watch for: Turnovers and special teams playing a decisive role in a chaotic game.

USC at Notre Dame – October 18, 2025

The midseason classic returns with Playoff implications always lurking. Lincoln Riley’s offense vs. Marcus Freeman’s defense is the storyline, but don’t overlook Notre Dame’s offensive improvement or USC’s bolstered transfer portal defense.

Watch for: Heisman candidates on display—especially at QB.
Editor's Note: These would be a more interesting game if we could return to the Pete Carrol USC era. The days when USC was so good that they did not even have to play in the National Championship game to claim a National Championship, memories of 2003. You may recall LSU beat Oklahoma in that 2003 National Championship game to earn the title but USC was not treated fairly (like FSU two years ago) and so USC claim the title anyway. While LSU recovered from the departure of Nick Saban as head coach, I'm not sure that USC ever recovered from Pete Carroll's departure. Maybe Lincoln Riley can start a new trend. If Notre Dame opens with two losses vs Miami and Texas A&M, they may not have a willing and healthy enough team beat USC. Otherwise this is not a big game. Notre Dame should obliterate USC - it is not 2003.

Clemson at South Carolina – November 29, 2025

A late-season rivalry with postseason stakes. South Carolina stunned Clemson in 2022—can they do it again? Clemson may be in the thick of an ACC title race, and a Gamecock upset here would cause shockwaves.

Watch for: The emotional rollercoaster—rivalry hate + potential playoff stakes = must-see TV.
Editor's Note: In this decade the trend so far is that these two teams trade who wins each season. Clemson won in 2021 and 2023. South Carolina won in 2022 and 2024. It's an odd year (2025). It is Clemson's turn to win this year. Wonder what the Gamecocks think about that?

Final Thoughts

The 2025 season is stacked with nonconference intrigue. These games offer more than bragging rights—they’ll help shape the CFP field, define coaching legacies, and possibly determine who survives the brutal playoff gauntlet. From Week 0 fireworks to November rivalry chaos, fans are in for a wild ride.


Wednesday, July 30, 2025

I asked Grok "Who are the best bets in College Football Week 1?"


I ask Grok to
“Create a best bets document that provides brief information about each team and gives a reason why you should and why you should not bet for each team on the following list of first week college football opponents” for this list:
The Week 1 ESPN BET/Draft Kings/CBS/Fan Duel lines that are less than 6pts:

Iowa State @ Kansas State line: KState-3  Draft Kings: KSt -3.5 FanDuel: KSt -3.5; Stanford @ Hawaii line: Haw -1 Draft Kings: Haw -1.5 FanDuel: Haw -1.5; Auburn @ Baylor line: Bay -1.5  Draft Kings: Bay -1.5 CBS: Aub -2.5 FanDuel: Bay -1.5; Georgia Tech @ Colorado line: GT -4 Draft Kings: GT -4 FanDuel: GT -4.5; Texas @ Ohio State line: OhioSt -2.5 Draft Kings: OSU -3 CBS: OSU -3.5 FanDuel: OSU -2.5; Temple @ UMass line: Tem -3 DK: Tem -3; LSU @ Clemson line: Clemson -3.5 DK: Clem -3.5 FanDuel: Clem -3.5; UTEP @ Utah State line: UtahSt -3.5 DK: US -3.5 FanDuel: US -3.5; Georgia Southern @ Fresno State line: FresnoSt -2.5 DK: FS -2.5 FanDuel: FS -2.5; California @ Oregon State line: OregState -3 DK: OS -2.5 FanDuel: OSU -2.5; Notre Dame @ Miami line: ND -2.5 DK: ND -2.5 FanDuel: ND -2.5; TCU @ UNC line: TCU -3 DK: TCU -3 CBS: UNC -1.5 FanDuel: TCU -3.5

DISCLAIMER: I am in no way encouraging you to gamble. That is a decision that each adult will have to make for themselves. Nor am I confirming or endorsing anything that Grok generated.  This is for entertainment purposes only. It is kind of a fun and sometimes odd read!




Grok created:


Week 1 College Football Best Bets 2025


Iowa State @ Kansas State (Line: KState -3, DraftKings: KState -3.5, FanDuel: KState -3.5)

Iowa State Cyclones

Overview: Iowa State is known for gritty, physical play, with a strong defensive unit and a versatile offense led by QB Rocco Becht. They’ve had inconsistent performances but excel in close games.

Why Bet Iowa State: The +3.5 underdog line offers value, as Iowa State can keep games tight with their defense. Their ability to adapt to game pace and perform on third downs makes them a live underdog.

Why Avoid Iowa State: Recent losses to Texas Tech and Kansas exposed offensive inconsistencies, and Kansas State’s home-field advantage could tilt the game.


Kansas State Wildcats

Overview: Kansas State boasts a balanced roster with a slight edge at home. Their offense, led by QB Avery Johnson, is efficient, and their defense is solid against the run.

Why Bet Kansas State: The -3.5 line is reasonable given their home advantage and 72% of bets favoring them. They’re projected to win by a narrow margin, making the spread achievable.

Why Avoid Kansas State: Iowa State’s physicality could disrupt their rhythm, and Kansas State’s ATS struggles (4-8 in recent games) suggest caution.


Best Bet: Iowa State +3.5 (value in a close Big 12 opener).


Stanford @ Hawaii (Line: Hawaii -1, DraftKings: Hawaii -1.5, FanDuel: Hawaii -1.5)

Stanford Cardinal

Overview: Stanford is rebuilding but has potential with a young roster. Their offense struggles with consistency, but their defense can generate stops.

Why Bet Stanford: As slight underdogs, Stanford benefits from 81% of bets, suggesting public confidence. Their defense could exploit Hawaii’s inconsistent offense.

Why Avoid Stanford: Road games in Hawaii are tough due to travel and crowd energy, and Stanford’s offense may struggle against a prepared Hawaii defense.


Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Overview: Hawaii has a home-field edge and a fast-paced offense. Their defense is improving but vulnerable against strong passing attacks.

Why Bet Hawaii: The -1.5 line is manageable at home, where 82% of the handle favors them. Their up-tempo style could wear down Stanford’s defense.

Why Avoid Hawaii: Heavy public betting on Stanford (81%) indicates potential overvaluation, and Hawaii’s defense may struggle if Stanford finds offensive rhythm.


Best Bet: Hawaii -1.5 (home advantage and offensive tempo give slight edge).


Auburn @ Baylor (Line: Baylor -1.5, DraftKings: Baylor -1.5, CBS: Auburn -2.5, FanDuel: Baylor -1.5)


Auburn Tigers

Overview: Auburn is a physical SEC team with a strong defense and a run-heavy offense. They’re transitioning under new leadership post-Saban.

Why Bet Auburn: The CBS line of -2.5 suggests Auburn as favorites, reflecting their defensive prowess. They can control the game with their ground attack.

Why Avoid Auburn: Baylor’s home-field advantage and slight favoritism on most books (-1.5) indicate a close game, and Auburn’s offense lacks explosiveness.


Baylor Bears

Overview: Baylor has a balanced offense and a solid home record. Their defense struggles against physical teams but can exploit offensive mistakes.

Why Bet Baylor: The -1.5 line is attractive at home, where they can match Auburn’s physicality. Public betting leans slightly toward Baylor.

Why Avoid Baylor: Auburn’s defense is elite, allowing just 8.2 points per game historically, which could stifle Baylor’s offense.


Best Bet: Auburn +1.5 (defensive strength keeps it close).


Georgia Tech @ Colorado (Line: GT -4, DraftKings: GT -4, FanDuel: GT -4.5)


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Overview: Georgia Tech is on the rise with a balanced offense and improving defense. They’re favored due to consistency and coaching.

Why Bet Georgia Tech: The -4 line is reasonable given their momentum and Colorado’s inconsistency. GT’s physical style should control the game.

Why Avoid Georgia Tech: Colorado’s upside with QB Shedeur Sanders could lead to an upset, especially if GT’s defense struggles with big plays.


Colorado Buffaloes

Overview: Colorado, under Deion Sanders, is a wild card with a dynamic offense but a shaky defense. They rely heavily on QB play.

Why Bet Colorado: As +4 underdogs, Colorado’s explosive offense could keep it close or win outright, especially with home support.

Why Avoid Colorado: Their defense ranks poorly in EPA/Play, and Georgia Tech’s balanced attack could exploit this weakness.


Best Bet: Georgia Tech -4 (superior consistency and defensive edge).


Texas @ Ohio State (Line: OSU -2.5, DraftKings: OSU -3, CBS: OSU -3.5, FanDuel: OSU -2.5)


Texas Longhorns

Overview: Texas is SEC-ready with QB Arch Manning leading a talented roster. Their defense is stout, but they face a tough road test.

Why Bet Texas: The +3 line offers value for a team with CFP potential. Texas’s balanced attack can keep pace with Ohio State.

Why Avoid Texas: Ohio State’s home advantage and loaded roster make them tough to beat, and Texas may struggle with road pressure.


Ohio State Buckeyes

Overview: Ohio State, despite losing key players, remains a powerhouse with a strong home record and elite talent.

Why Bet Ohio State: The -2.5/-3 line is achievable at home, where they’re favored to win. Their depth overcomes roster turnover.

Why Avoid Ohio State: Losing stars like Emeka Egbuka and Will Howard could impact performance, and Texas’s defense is formidable.


Best Bet: Texas +3 (value in a tight, high-stakes game).


Temple @ UMass (Line: Temple -3, DraftKings: Temple -3)


Temple Owls

Overview: Temple is a scrappy team with a decent defense but an inconsistent offense. They’re slight favorites in a low-profile matchup.

Why Bet Temple: The -3 line is reasonable, with 100% of the handle on Temple, suggesting confidence in their ability to dominate.

Why Avoid Temple: UMass’s home field and 48% of bets indicate a close game, and Temple’s offense may struggle to cover.


UMass Minutemen

Overview: UMass is rebuilding with a weak offense but a scrappy defense. They’re underdogs at home but could keep it competitive.

Why Bet UMass: The +3 line offers value, as UMass can stay within a field goal with defensive effort and home support.

Why Avoid UMass: Temple’s slight edge in talent and public betting heavily favoring Temple (100% handle) suggest an uphill battle.


Best Bet: UMass +3 (home underdog value in a close game).


LSU @ Clemson (Line: Clemson -3.5, DraftKings: Clemson -3.5, FanDuel: Clemson -3.5)


LSU Tigers

Overview: LSU has an explosive offense and a strong home night game record (108-15). Their defense has improved but remains a weak point.

Why Bet LSU: As +3.5 underdogs, LSU’s offense can exploit Clemson’s pass rush, and their home record in big games is stellar.

Why Avoid LSU: Clemson’s home-field edge at Death Valley and LSU’s defensive faults could lead to a cover by the favorite.


Clemson Tigers

Overview: Clemson is a perennial powerhouse with a balanced attack and a strong home-field advantage. QB Cade Klubnik is a key playmaker.

Why Bet Clemson: The -3.5 line is achievable at home, where Clemson thrives. Their defense can pressure LSU’s inconsistent line.

Why Avoid Clemson: LSU’s offense is elite, and Clemson’s favoritism (-2.5 to -3.5) may be inflated due to public bias toward big names.


Best Bet: LSU +3.5 (offensive firepower and home record keep it close).


UTEP @ Utah State (Line: Utah State -3.5, DraftKings: US -3.5, FanDuel: US -3.5)


UTEP Miners

Overview: UTEP is a rebuilding program with a weak offense but a scrappy defense. They struggle in road games against stronger teams.

Why Bet UTEP: The +3.5 line offers value if UTEP’s defense keeps the game low-scoring, as Utah State’s offense is inconsistent.

Why Avoid UTEP: Utah State’s home advantage and UTEP’s offensive struggles make it hard to cover or win outright.


Utah State Aggies

Overview: Utah State has a balanced offense and a decent home record. Their defense is vulnerable but can capitalize on weaker opponents.

Why Bet Utah State: The -3.5 line is manageable at home, where they can exploit UTEP’s offensive woes and control the game.

Why Avoid Utah State: UTEP’s defense could keep it close, and Utah State’s inconsistency against stronger defenses is a concern.


Best Bet: Utah State -3.5 (home edge and UTEP’s offensive struggles).


Georgia Southern @ Fresno State (Line: Fresno State -2.5, DraftKings: FS -2.5, FanDuel: FS -2.5)


Georgia Southern Eagles

Overview: Georgia Southern runs a run-heavy offense with a decent defense. They’re underdogs but can keep games competitive.

Why Bet Georgia Southern: The +2.5 line offers value, as their physical style could frustrate Fresno State’s defense and keep it close.

Why Avoid Georgia Southern: Fresno State’s home advantage and passing attack could exploit Georgia Southern’s secondary weaknesses.


Fresno State Bulldogs

Overview: Fresno State has a potent passing game and a solid home record. Their defense is average but can handle run-heavy teams.

Why Bet Fresno State: The -2.5 line is achievable at home, where their offense should outpace Georgia Southern’s one-dimensional attack.

Why Avoid Fresno State: Georgia Southern’s physicality could slow the game, and Fresno State’s defense may struggle if the Eagles control the clock.


Best Bet: Georgia Southern +2.5 (value in a low-scoring, physical game).


California @ Oregon State (Line: Oregon State -3, DraftKings: OS -2.5, FanDuel: OSU -2.5)


California Golden Bears

Overview: Cal has a balanced offense and an improving defense. They’re underdogs but capable of competing in close games.

Why Bet California: The +2.5/+3 line offers value, as Cal’s defense can keep games tight, and their offense is versatile enough to score.

Why Avoid California: Oregon State’s home-field advantage and physical style could overwhelm Cal, especially on the road.


Oregon State Beavers

Overview: Oregon State is physical with a strong run game and a solid defense. They’re favored at home but inconsistent against the pass.

Why Bet Oregon State: The -2.5/-3 line is reasonable at home, where their physicality should control the game against Cal’s defense.

Why Avoid Oregon State: Cal’s balanced attack could exploit their secondary, and public betting may overvalue Oregon State’s home edge.


Best Bet: California +2.5 (defensive strength keeps it close).


Notre Dame @ Miami (Line: ND -2.5, DraftKings: ND -2.5, FanDuel: ND -2.5)


Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Overview: Notre Dame is a CFP contender with a strong defense and a balanced offense. They’re favored due to consistency and coaching.

Why Bet Notre Dame: The -2.5 line is achievable, as their defense can stifle Miami’s offense, and their experience in big games is a plus.

Why Avoid Notre Dame: Miami’s home-field advantage and explosive offense could lead to an upset, especially if Notre Dame’s offense stalls.


Miami Hurricanes

Overview: Miami has a dynamic offense but an inconsistent defense. They’re underdogs at home but dangerous in high-scoring games.

Why Bet Miami: The +2.5 line offers value, as Miami’s offense can keep pace with Notre Dame, and home support could spark an upset.

Why Avoid Miami: Notre Dame’s elite defense is likely to exploit Miami’s defensive weaknesses, making the cover tough for the Hurricanes.


Best Bet: Notre Dame -2.5 (defensive dominance secures the win).


TCU @ UNC (Line: TCU -3, DraftKings: TCU -3, CBS: UNC -1.5, FanDuel: TCU -3.5)


TCU Horned Frogs

Overview: TCU has a high-powered offense led by QB Behren Morton and a decent defense. They’re favored but inconsistent ATS.

Why Bet TCU: The -3/-3.5 line is reasonable, as TCU’s offense can overwhelm UNC’s shaky defense, especially on a neutral field.

Why Avoid TCU: Their 2-6 ATS record in recent games and UNC’s potential to exploit defensive lapses suggest caution.


UNC Tar Heels

Overview: UNC has a balanced offense but a weak defense. The CBS line (-1.5) suggests some confidence, but most books favor TCU.

Why Bet UNC: The +3/+3.5 line offers value, as UNC’s offense can keep it close, and the CBS line indicates potential favoritism.

Why Avoid UNC: TCU’s offensive firepower is likely to exploit UNC’s defensive issues, making it hard to cover or win outright.


Best Bet: TCU -3 (offensive edge overcomes UNC’s defense).


Summary of Best Bets:

Iowa State +3.5

Hawaii -1.5

Auburn +1.5

Georgia Tech -4

Texas +3

UMass +3

LSU +3.5

Utah State -3.5

Georgia Southern +2.5

California +2.5

Notre Dame -2.5

TCU -3


Note: Always check the latest odds and injury reports before placing bets, as lines may shift. For more details on betting strategies, visit trusted sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM.





 

2025 Must See Nonconference Football Games

Image generated using Google's Gemini Image Generator.  Chris Low of ESPN recently published a "must see" article about the up...